Based on the forecast data from 2024 to 2028, the number of motor coaches, buses, and trolley buses at least 20 years old in Germany is projected to decrease slightly from 3.23 thousand in 2024 to 3.05 thousand in 2028. This represents a consistent downward trend over the forecasted period. The year-on-year decrease averages approximately 1.4% from 2024 to 2028, indicating a gradual phasing out of older vehicles. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years is negative, underscoring the ongoing trend towards modernizing transport fleets.

Future trends to watch for:

Development and adoption of newer, environmentally friendly transport technologies could accelerate the phase-out of older vehicles.
Regulatory changes, especially those targeting emissions reductions, might impact the pace of this decline.
Evolving passenger preferences for more efficient and modern public transport options could further drive the decrease in older vehicles.