Forecast: Road Freight Transport in Poland

The road freight transport sector in Poland has demonstrated consistent growth over the past decade. In 2023, the sector's volume stood at 576.77 billion tonne-kilometers, showcasing a year-on-year increase of 7.78%. Over the last two years, the year-on-year growth rates were 8.53% and 6.83% in 2022 and 2021, respectively. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years has been robust at 8.83%, highlighting steady upward momentum.

Looking ahead, the forecast data point towards continued, albeit slightly moderated, growth. From 2024 to 2028, the sector is projected to expand with a 5-year CAGR of 4.73%, culminating in an overall growth rate of 26.01% by 2028, reaching 778.74 billion tonne-kilometers.

Future trends to watch for:

• Technological advancements, such as automation and digital logistics solutions, which could enhance efficiency and reduce costs.
• Environmental regulations and the push towards greener transport solutions, potentially influencing fleet compositions and operational practices.
• Economic factors, including trade patterns and fuel prices, which could impact demand and operational expenses.