The forecast for doctoral or equivalent level, combining study periods with work placements, shows a steady decline from a value of 1.2 in 2024 to 1.0 by 2028. Compared to the actual value of 1.3 in 2023, there is a noticeable downward trend, with a year-on-year decrease visible in the projections. From 2024 to 2025, there is a 8.3% decline and from 2026 to 2027, it further drops by 9.1%. Over this five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negative, indicating an average annual decrease.
For future trends, keep an eye on educational policies and funding changes that could impact doctoral level enrollments. Additionally, shifting workforce demands might influence the preference for integrated work-study programs. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding long-term trends in doctoral education participation.
