The forecast for Japan's tangerines and mandarins export from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady decline in volume. Starting at 1.54 thousand metric tons in 2024, it is expected to decrease each year, reaching 0.972 thousand metric tons by 2028. This represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five years that highlights a consistent negative trend.
Year-on-year, the exports are projected to drop by approximately 9.09% in 2025, 10.71% in 2026, 11.20% in 2027, and 12.39% by 2028.
In 2023, the exports stood at 1.67 thousand metric tons, suggesting an ongoing decline that might be driven by various factors such as changing agricultural policies, global demand shifts, or increased competition from other countries.
Future trends to watch include:
- Potential shifts in global demand for Japanese citrus products.
- Changes in trade policies or tariffs affecting exports.
- Technological advancements in agricultural practices that may alter production efficiencies.
