Forecast: Perinatal Mortality in Poland

The perinatal mortality rate in Poland has shown fluctuations over the past decade, starting at 5.0 deaths per thousand births in 2013 and gradually decreasing to 4.1 in 2015. Between 2016 and 2023, the rate has varied but has generally hovered around 4.1 to 4.7. Notably, the rate stood at 4.6 in 2023. Between 2018 and 2022, the year-on-year variation ranged from -2.13% to 11.9%, indicating some instability. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years leading to 2023 is 0.89%, reflecting a minimal average annual increase. Looking forward, the forecast suggests a slight overall decline with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.44% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include potential advancements in maternal and neonatal healthcare, policy changes, and socioeconomic factors that could influence perinatal mortality rates. Monitoring these trends will be crucial for stakeholders aiming to improve outcomes in perinatal health.

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