The forecasted data indicates a steady decline in heat final consumption in the chemical and petrochemical sectors in the UK from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the heat consumption stood at 7.37 thousand terajoules. Year-on-year, there is a noticeable decrease: 7.6% from 2024 to 2025, 8.2% from 2025 to 2026, 8.6% from 2026 to 2027, and 9.4% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 reflects a sustained downward trend, averaging a decline of approximately 8.5% annually.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The impact of innovation in energy efficiency contributing to reduced heat consumption.
- Potential shifts toward sustainable and renewable energy sources within the sector.
- Regulatory changes that might accelerate the decline in heat consumption.
- Global market dynamics influencing domestic chemical and petrochemical industries.