The area of cherries fully converted to organic farming in Italy showed significant growth from 2013 to 2023, reaching 3.8 thousand hectares in 2023. The year-on-year variation has been mostly positive, with notable increases in 2016 (12.07%) and 2017 (12.9%), but a decline in 2021 (-4.27%). The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stood at 4.46%, indicating a steady upward trend in organic cherry farming.
Looking ahead, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggest continued growth, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 2.96%, expecting the area to reach 4.59 thousand hectares by 2028, reflecting a 15.69% increase over the period. This indicates that the trend toward organic farming is likely to persist, although at a slightly slower growth rate compared to previous years.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Advancements in organic farming technology and practices that could boost productivity.
- Changes in consumer preferences towards organic products, potentially driving demand.
- Government subsidies or policy changes favoring organic farming methods.
- Environmental challenges and their impact on farming sustainability and yield.
