The forecasted import of automobiles with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel) of cylinder capacity exceeding 2500 CC to China shows a slight declining trend from 2024 through 2028, with volumes decreasing from 39.549 million kilograms in 2024 to 36.827 million kilograms by 2028. In 2023, the imports stood at 40.2 million kilograms. This demonstrates an annual reduction of approximately 1.8% when comparing year-on-year trends and an average decrease of around 1.7% annually over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of China's regulatory measures on emission standards which may discourage diesel engine imports.
The shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) and how it affects diesel vehicle demand.
Global economic factors influencing automotive supply chains and trade policies that might impact import volumes.