The number of surgery specialists in Mexico has shown a steady increase from 2013 to 2023, with a brief dip in 2016 and a more significant decline in 2020, likely due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. As of 2023, the number stood at 21.94 thousand persons. The year-on-year growth rates have fluctuated, with notable decreases in 2016 (-3.75%) and 2020 (-7.54%), contrasting with stronger growth in years like 2017 (5.44%) and 2019 (5.26%). The last recorded CAGR from 2023 is 1.4%, projecting a steady but modest increase in the coming years.
Looking ahead, the forecasted CAGR for the next five years (2024-2028) is 1.69%, indicating a continued albeit moderate upward trajectory. By 2028, the number of surgery specialists is expected to reach 24.41 thousand persons, marking an 8.76% growth rate over this period. This trend suggests ongoing, consistent demand for surgery specialists in Mexico.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential impact of healthcare policy changes on specialist training and recruitment.
- Technological advancements and their influence on surgical practices and specialist requirements.
- Demographic shifts, particularly an aging population, which may drive increased demand for surgical services.
- Economic factors that could affect healthcare funding and the availability of training programs for new specialists.
