In 2023, the production of gutted fresh black cardinal fish in the UK capture fisheries was 1.58 metric tons. By 2028, it is forecasted to decline to 0.65 metric tons, indicating a significant downward trend. The year-on-year variation shows a consistent decrease, with production dropping by approximately 13.7% in 2025, 15.8% in 2026, 17.8% in 2027, and 21.7% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is -13.1%, highlighting the ongoing contraction in production volumes.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of changing maritime regulations and environmental protections on capture fisheries.
Shifts in consumer demand for black cardinal fish and efforts to cultivate sustainable fishing practices.
Innovations in fishery technologies and practices that might affect yield productivity.
Market competition from alternative sources of fish or seafood substitutes.