From 2013 to 2023, the consumption of lubricants in international maritime bunkers in France experienced significant fluctuations. Initially stable, the period saw a peak in 2015 and 2016, followed by a marked decline starting in 2017. The sharpest decreases occurred in 2017 and 2019, with values dropping by 16.67% and 21.43% respectively. A notable rebound was seen in 2020 at 27.27%. However, by 2023, consumption was down to 461.92 Terajoules, reflecting a continual downward trend with a 4.61% decrease from 2022.
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for 2023 was -4.71% over the past five years, highlighting an overall decrease. Forecasts predict the consumption to continue declining, with an anticipated 4.27% annual reduction, leading to a total decrease of 19.62% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in fuel efficiency and alternative propulsion technologies, which may further reduce lubricant consumption in maritime operations. Environmental regulations and economic factors will also significantly influence these trends. Monitoring these variables will be crucial for accurate forecasting.
