Forecast: Energy Consumption in Recycling and Disposal of Waste in China

The observed energy consumption in the recycling and disposal of waste in China has been on a significant upward trajectory from 2013 to 2023, starting at 169.0 (in ten thousand tons of standard coal equivalent) and reaching 991.24 in 2023. The period saw varying year-on-year growth rates, with notable spikes in 2018 (76.13%) and 2019 (62.4%), while maintaining a steady acceleration in recent years. Last year witnessed an 11.37% rise, with a 5-year CAGR of 20.45%, underlining robust growth. Looking forward, the forecast data from 2024 onwards predicts continued incremental increases, with energy consumption expected to hit 1490.0 by 2028.

Trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in recycling processes which could potentially reduce energy consumption per unit.
  • Government policies aimed at sustainability and energy efficiency which might either curb growth rates or drive further increases in efficiency.
  • Potential fluctuations in the waste generation rates which will directly influence the energy consumption trends.

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