Forecast: Public Health Insurance Coverage in Sweden

Public health insurance coverage in Sweden, expressed in volume, stood at 10.59 million persons in 2023. The year-on-year variation over the last two years was consistent, at 0.68% in 2022 and slightly decreasing to 0.66% in 2023. Notably, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last 5 years showed an average increase of 0.7% per year.

Historical data from 2013 to 2023 shows a steady, albeit slowing, increase in public health insurance coverage. Between 2013 and 2017, the annual growth rate increased at an average rate of 0.9%. From 2018 onwards, the growth rate started to stabilize, reflecting a mature market where most eligible individuals are already covered by public insurance.

Looking forward, the forecast for 2028 suggests a 5-year CAGR of 0.48%, demonstrating a continued but slower growth trend. The total growth rate anticipated over this period is approximately 2.41%, indicating that while the market is expanding, the pace is moderating.

Future trends to watch for include demographic changes, policy adjustments, and economic factors that might impact the demand and accessibility of public health insurance. Monitoring shifts in population age structure and immigration patterns will be crucial for understanding the future dynamics of health insurance coverage in Sweden.