The forecast indicates a gradual decline in the import volume of hand-made rugs, including Kelem, Schumacks, and Karamanie, into the UK from 2024 to 2028, decreasing from 1.0261 million kilograms in 2024 to 1.0007 million kilograms in 2028. In 2023, the volume stood slightly higher, illustrating a diminishing trend across these years. The average annual decrease, calculated over the five-year period, is modest, suggesting stable yet declining demand.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of changing consumer preferences towards sustainable and locally-sourced products, which may further decrease imports.
Economic and trade policy changes post-Brexit that could either inhibit or encourage imports of these traditional crafts.
Technological advancements in logistics and production that may affect the cost and therefore the volume of imports.