Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Waste Management and Disposal in the UK

In 2024, the share of corresponding/leading authors in UK scientific publications on waste management and disposal is anticipated at 75.31%, decreasing from previous years. By 2025, it is projected to decline to 74.08%, with a continued downtrend reaching 70.4% by 2028. The year-on-year percentage change indicates a consistent decline in the lead authorship share, suggesting a diversification or a balancing of roles in scientific collaborations. From 2023 data, this can be extrapolated to a trend of diminishing lead author prominence over a 5-year forecast.

Future trends to monitor include the increasing emphasis on collaborative international research partnerships which may contribute to the balance shift in authorship. Additionally, policy changes and funding allocations in the UK might further influence this share in waste management publications. Understanding these dynamics can provide deeper insights into the evolution of scientific contributions within this domain.

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