In 2023, the refinery output of gas oil and diesel oil (excluding biofuel) in France was recorded at 19.83 million tonnes of oil equivalent. Forecasts predict a steady decline through to 2028. Specifically, output is expected to decrease to 18.97 in 2024, 18.11 in 2025, 17.25 in 2026, 16.4 in 2027, and finally to 15.56 by 2028, calculating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -4.76%. Year-on-year reductions are projected as follows: -4.33% for 2025, -4.75% for 2026, -4.93% for 2027, and -5.12% for 2028.
Future trends to watch for include shifts in energy policies focusing on sustainability, possible advancements in alternative energy, and the impact of geopolitical factors on energy production. Monitoring these trends could provide insights into further declines or potential stabilization in refinery outputs.
