In 2023, municipal waste incineration with energy recovery in Poland stood at 2,730 thousand metric tons. The observed trends over the past decade reveal a significant upward trajectory with an initial surge in capacity up until 2018. Following a peak, there was a slight decline and stabilization, with minor variations from 2019 to 2023.
Year-on-year variations show notable growth between 2014 and 2017, highlighted by substantial increases in capacity. After 2017, growth rates moderated, transitioning into slight decreases in 2019 and 2020. From 2021 onwards, the trend stabilized, displaying marginal increases up to 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects these fluctuations, with a noticeable drop to -0.65% over the last five years leading into 2023.
Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 suggest steady, albeit modest, growth, maintaining a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.41% and a cumulative 2.08% growth by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include potential advances in waste-to-energy technologies, regulatory changes impacting waste management practices, and the influence of EU policies on sustainability and recycling targets. Additionally, evolving public attitudes towards waste reduction and renewable energy solutions may further shape this sector.
