Forecast: Perinatal Mortality in Sweden

The perinatal mortality rate in Sweden has shown a general downward trend from 5.2 deaths per thousand births in 2013 to 4.2 in 2023, with minor fluctuations. The YoY variation over the last two years remained at 0% from 2022 to 2023, indicating some level of stabilization. The five-year CAGR stands at -2.22% as of 2023, reflecting a consistent decrease in perinatal mortality. From 2023 onward, forecasts suggest a gradual decline in the perinatal mortality rate, reaching 4.0 deaths per thousand births by 2028 with a forecasted five-year CAGR of -0.97%.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in neonatal care, public health policies targeting maternal health, and socio-economic factors that may impact birth outcomes. Close monitoring of these factors will be crucial to sustaining and potentially accelerating the decline in perinatal mortality.

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