Forecast: Cottonseed Oil Demand in Mexico

The demand for cottonseed oil in Mexico stood at 79.0 thousand metric tons in 2023, showing a modest year-on-year increase of 1.28%. Over the last two years, the demand has rebounded with year-on-year variations of 1.3% in 2022 and 22.07% in 2021. However, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 is -0.5%, indicating overall stagnation after a peak in 2018. Moving forward, the forecast suggests a slight but continuous increase, with the CAGR for the next five years expected to be 1.17%, reaching approximately 85.14 thousand metric tons in 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of agricultural policies and economic conditions on production costs and supply chain stability.
  • Consumer trends towards healthier and sustainable oils which could shift demand patterns.
  • Technological advancements in extraction and production processes potentially reducing costs and affecting supply dynamics.

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