The forecasted share of Germany’s scientific publications in the top 10% of cited publications narrows steadily from 2024 to 2028, indicating a minor decline in prominence within applied microbiology and biotechnology. The share falls from 11.91% in 2024 to 10.63% by 2028. This trend suggests diminishing influence compared to 2023's share.
Key observations:
- There is a consistent year-on-year decrease, from 11.91% in 2024 to 10.63% in 2028.
- The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects a slight decline over the five years.
Trends to watch:
- Increasing international competition and shifting funding priorities could impact future publication influence.
- Investments in innovation and collaboration may reverse the declining trend.
