Forecast: Primary Fruit Production in Malaysia

Primary fruit production in Malaysia reached 1.099 million metric tons in 2023. Over the past decade, the trend shows significant fluctuations, particularly a notable increase in production from 2013 to 2015 followed by a general decline. The production slightly grew by 4.41% in 2021 before experiencing a minor decline in the subsequent years, reaching a year-on-year decrease of 0.79% in 2023.

Despite these fluctuations, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years (-0.84%) indicates a slight overall decline. Looking forward, the forecast suggests a continued decline in production with a CAGR of -0.67% towards 2028, equating to a 3.32% reduction over the next five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of climate change on fruit yield and quality
  • Developments in agricultural technology and practices
  • Changes in domestic and international market demand
  • Government policies and incentives for the agriculture sector

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