The forecast for the Orange and Mandarines market size in volume per capita in Norway shows a slight but consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 16.9 kg per capita in 2024, it decreases incrementally to 16.63 kg per capita by 2028. In 2023, the volume stood at 17 kg per capita, indicating a gradual downward trend.
The year-on-year variation shows a negative trend, with a slight reduction each year: -0.41% from 2024 to 2025, -0.42% from 2025 to 2026, -0.42% from 2026 to 2027, and -0.36% from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years reflects an average annual decline of approximately -0.44%.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in consumer preferences towards other fruits, impacts of climate change on orange and mandarin production, and changes in import-export policies that could affect availability and prices. Monitoring health trends and dietary guidelines will also be crucial, as these can influence citrus fruit consumption patterns.