In 2023, the number of medical doctor graduates in Italy stood at approximately 12 thousand. From 2024 to 2028, the projected growth shows a steady increase, starting at 12.59 thousand in 2024 and reaching 13.74 thousand by 2028. This period is characterized by incremental increases, with a year-on-year growth rate expected to fluctuate between 2.5% and 3.2%. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is approximately 2.2%, indicating a moderate and consistent upward trend.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts from changes in healthcare policy, the introduction of innovative medical education methods, and socioeconomic factors influencing higher education enrollment. Special attention should also be paid to Italy’s healthcare system needs, which could drive policy changes affecting the number of medical graduates.