The UK whole fresh surmullet production in capture fisheries for human consumption is projected to decline from 70.77 metric tons in 2024 to 41.81 metric tons by 2028. As of 2023, production stood at approximately 78 metric tons, indicating a significant downward trend.
The year-on-year percentage change highlights a consistent decline, with notable decreases each year: 2025 (-10.54%), 2026 (-11.55%), 2027 (-13.68%), and 2028 (-14.35%). The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five years shows an average annual decline of about 10.96%.
Future trends to watch for include regulatory impacts on capture fisheries, shifts in marine biodiversity affecting surmullet availability, and consumption pattern changes driven by sustainability concerns.
