Forecast: Turnover of Renting and Leasing of Motor Vehicles in the UK

The turnover for renting and leasing motor vehicles in the UK has shown significant growth from 2013 to 2023, reaching 22.41 billion Euros in 2023. This reflects a considerable increase compared to 15.11 billion Euros in 2013, demonstrating a healthy upward trend.

Year-on-year variations reveal periods of strong growth, such as in 2014 (23.56%) and 2015 (7.66%), alongside occasional declines, notably in 2016 (-5.88%) and 2017 (-1.68%). The most recent two years prior to 2023 show steady but modest growth: 2.15% in 2022 and 2.06% in 2023.

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) across the last five years aligns with this moderate growth, at an average of 1.96%. Forecasts suggest a continued but slowing growth rate, with a projected five-year CAGR of 1.43% from 2024 to 2028, implying a 7.37% total growth over the period.

Future Trends to Watch:

  • Impact of electric vehicle adoption on leasing services.
  • Shifts in consumer preferences towards flexible, short-term leasing.
  • Technological advancements in vehicle sharing and autonomous driving.
  • Regulatory changes affecting the automotive and leasing sectors.

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