The calculated inland consumption of lignite in Germany for 2024 is forecasted at 122.13 million metric tons, showing a declining trend from earlier years. In 2025, consumption decreases by 3% to 118.47 million metric tons, and a further drop of approximately 3.1% is expected in 2026, with consumption reaching 114.84 million metric tons. By 2027 and 2028, the forecast suggests continuous declines to 111.25 and 107.7 million metric tons, respectively. This trend indicates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about -3.1% over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- An ongoing shift towards renewable energy sources and stricter environmental regulations could further reduce lignite consumption.
- Technological advancements in clean energy might accelerate the decline in lignite use.
- The geopolitical landscape and economic policies post-2024 may significantly influence energy sector dynamics and lignite usage.