Forecast: Volume of Road Freight Transport in Poland

The volume of road freight transport in Poland has shown significant fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2019, the industry experienced steady and robust growth, with noticeable increases in yearly values. A significant spike occurred in 2020, with a 16.76% year-on-year rise, moving from 395.31 billion tonne kilometers in 2019 to 461.58 billion tonne kilometers. This was followed by a decline in 2021 and 2022, attributed to various market disruptions, including the impact of global events. However, 2023 saw a recovery, reaching a volume of 421.52 billion tonne kilometers, representing a 3.59% increase year-on-year and a CAGR of 2.22% over the preceding five years.

Key trends over the forecast period from 2024 to 2028 indicate moderate growth with a CAGR of 2.05%, culminating in a projected volume of 479.69 billion tonne kilometers by 2028. This period is expected to reflect an overall growth rate of 10.68% from the 2023 levels.

Future trends to watch for include:

• The impact of emerging technologies on transport efficiency.
• Changes in regulatory frameworks affecting logistics and transportation.
• Potential economic fluctuations that could influence freight demand.
• The ongoing transition to sustainable and green logistics practices.
• Shifts in global trade patterns that may affect domestic freight volumes.