The domestic material consumption of natural gas in the UK is projected to decline from 2024 onwards, reflecting a consistent downward trend. In 2023, the actual consumption stood above the projected 2024 level of 46.46 million metric tons. Forecasted figures show a steady year-on-year decrease, dropping by approximately 3% annually, leading to a cumulative decline of around 12% by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period indicates an average annual decrease of approximately 2.5%.

Future trends to watch for:

Impact of renewable energy adoption potentially accelerating the decline in natural gas consumption.
Policy changes addressing carbon emissions might further influence natural gas usage.
Technological advancements in energy efficiency could lead to decreased reliance on natural gas.