The share of Canada's scientific publications in applied microbiology and biotechnology among the world's top 10% cited is forecasted to decrease from 10.66% in 2024 to 9.74% by 2028. In 2023, this share stood at 10.92%. The year-on-year analysis shows a declining trend: -2.91% from 2024 to 2025, -2.42% from 2025 to 2026, -1.98% from 2026 to 2027, and -1.62% from 2027 to 2028. Over five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) illustrates an average decline of approximately 2.02% annually.
Future trends to monitor include developments in research funding, international collaborations, and the impact of emerging technologies on publication quality and citations. These factors may influence Canada's competitive position among top-cited scientific works.
