Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health in Italy

Italy's share of scientific publications among the world's top 10% in public health, environmental, and occupational health is projected to increase annually from 19.82% in 2024 to 25.23% in 2028. In 2023, this share stood at 18.6%. The year-on-year growth reveals a steady upward trend: 6.9% from 2024 to 2025, 6.4% from 2025 to 2026, 6% from 2026 to 2027, and 5.6% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is estimated at 6.72% over five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Increased international collaboration to enhance publication quality.
  • Focus on interdisciplinary research bridging environmental and public health.
  • Advancements in digital health technology influencing publication areas.
  • Policy changes impacting research funding and priorities.

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