Forecast: Cottonseed Demand in the US

The US cottonseed demand has displayed varied trends over the past decade. In 2023, cottonseed demand stood at 4.93 million metric tons. The initial period saw substantial fluctuations with a significant drop in 2015, followed by a robust recovery in 2016 and 2017. The demand stabilized post-2018 with modest year-on-year changes, reflecting a more steady growth pattern.

From 2019 to 2023, the average annual growth rate (CAGR) was 1.15%, indicating a slow but consistent increase in demand. Notably, the last two years (2022-2023) saw a minimal 0.49% year-on-year increase. Future projections up to 2028 suggest a continued gradual rise, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.36%, leading to a 1.82% growth rate over the period.

Future Trends to Watch for:

  • The impact of agricultural advancements and seed technology on yield and quality.
  • Environmental policies and their potential influence on cotton farming.
  • Market shifts in the textile industry affecting cottonseed demand.
  • Global economic conditions influencing trade dynamics and production costs.

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