Germany's fuel oil refinery output is forecasted to decline from 276.33 thousand terajoules in 2024 to 266.45 thousand terajoules in 2028. This illustrates a gradual downward trend in production, with an approximate year-on-year decrease ranging from 0.9% to 1% over this period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these years reflects a sustained contraction in the output of about 0.9% annually.

Future trends to watch include:

The impact of Germany's energy transition policies and decarbonization goals on refinery outputs.
Technological advancements in alternative energy sources which may further decrease demand for fuel oil refinements.
Geopolitical factors and global oil market dynamics influencing production strategies.