The corresponding/leading author share in US scientific publications in ecology is forecasted to slightly decline from 92.24% in 2024 to 91.95% in 2028. Since actual data from 2023 is not provided, trends are assessed from the 2024 forecast. The projected annual decline is negligible, averaging a yearly decrease, or CAGR, of approximately 0.06% over the five-year period.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential shifts in collaborative or interdisciplinary research dynamics that may impact author roles.
- Technological advancements facilitating more egalitarian contributions among co-authors.
- Changes in policy or funding affecting author contributions and hierarchical structure within academic publishing.
