Forecast: Prevalence of Severe Wasting in Nigeria

The prevalence of severe wasting among children under 5 in Nigeria is forecasted to steadily decrease over the next five years, from 1.3% in 2024 to 0.9% in 2028. As of 2023, the figure stood at 1.4%. Year-on-year variations indicate a consistent decline, with a notable reduction of approximately 7.7% between 2023 and 2024, 7.69% between 2024 and 2025, 8.33% from 2025 to 2026, 9.09% from 2026 to 2027, and 10% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years suggests an average annual decrease of 8.27%.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of government policies aimed at improving child nutrition and healthcare infrastructure, as well as potential economic and environmental factors that could disrupt or accelerate these trends.

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