Forecast: Import of Polyvinyl Chloride to Indonesia

The import of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) to Indonesia has shown significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. In 2023, PVC imports stood at 63.235 million kilograms. Observing the year-on-year variations, the market saw notable decreases from 2014 through 2018, with the largest drop of 20.4% in 2017. A recovery commenced post-2018, albeit unstable, with minor dips and rebounds, reaching a nominal increase of 0.99% in 2023. Over the last two years, there has been a mild incline compared to the sharp fluctuations earlier, showcasing a relatively stable phase. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years marks a slight increase at 2.88%.

Looking ahead, from 2024 onwards, forecasts indicate a gradual but consistent rise in PVC imports by 0.8% CAGR over the next five years, expecting to reach 66.279 million kilograms by 2028. This suggests a moderately stable growth trajectory.

Future Trends to Watch For:

- Monitor global PVC supply chain dynamics which might influence the import volumes and prices.

- Keep an eye on Indonesia’s domestic PVC production capabilities that could reduce dependency on imports.

- Consider potential regulatory and environmental policies impacting PVC’s usage and importation.

- Economic factors such as GDP growth and construction industry trends as primary PVC usage drivers.

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