Forecast: Import of Provisionally Preserved Cherries to Thailand

Between 2013 and 2023, Thailand saw fluctuating imports of provisionally preserved cherries. Starting from 839.87 thousand USD in 2013, it reached 1823.4 thousand USD in 2023. Notable shifts include a significant rise in 2015 (+60.12%), followed by volatility with peaks in 2017 (+70.14%) and a notable dip in 2018 (-41.15%). The last two years exhibited stable growth, with a year-on-year increase around 3.59% in 2023. Over the past five years, the imports have grown at an average CAGR of 7.66%.

Future trends indicate a continued growth, though at a slower pace. The forecasted 5-year CAGR of 2.38% suggests a moderate but steady increase, reaching approximately 2121 thousand USD by 2028. The total projected growth rate over the next five years is 12.5%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Possible impacts of changing trade policies and tariffs.
  • Shifts in global cherry supply chains and production volumes.
  • Consumer demand changes in Thailand, particularly influenced by economic conditions.
  • Potential influences of climate change on cherry yield worldwide.

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