The national traffic of buses and coaches in Germany showed a generally stable trend between 2013 and 2019, hovering around 3.1 billion vehicle-kilometers. However, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a significant drop in 2020, with a decrease of 16.77% year-on-year. Recovery began in 2021 with a 5.81% increase, continuing to 2022 with a 10.15% rise, reaching back to 3.07 billion vehicle-kilometers in 2022. In 2023, traffic returned to pre-pandemic levels of 3.19 billion vehicle-kilometers, marking a 3.78% increase year-on-year.
From 2024 onwards, the forecast data suggests stability, remaining consistently at 3.19-3.21 billion vehicle-kilometers through 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is projected to be 0.11%, indicating minimal growth.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of sustainable transportation policies and technological advancements in public transport. Monitoring the post-pandemic recovery and the integration of electric and autonomous buses could significantly influence the traffic volumes of buses and coaches in the coming years.
