The forecast for the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in nuclear energy and engineering in the US shows a slight but consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting from 94.63% in 2024, it gradually decreases to 94.37% by 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.07 percentage points annually. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for this period indicates a minor decrease, reflecting a stable but declining trend.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Changes in collaborative research models which may affect authorship distribution.
- Technological advancements that could either decentralize research leadership or enhance traditional roles of corresponding authors.
- Impact of global research partnerships on US publication dynamics.