As of 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in gastroenterology in Canada was 85.59%. This share is projected to slightly decline over the coming years, with values forecasted to decrease by approximately 0.53% annually, leading to a share of 82.93% in 2028. Year-on-year variations show gradual decreases in the share, reflecting a steady trend downward. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average decline of about 0.65% per year over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential increase in international collaborations, possibly influencing the decline in leadership roles for Canadian authors.
Shifts in research funding and priorities that may impact authorship dynamics in gastroenterology.
Technological advancements and open-access policies potentially affecting Canadian authorship trends in research publications.