Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Transplantation in Brazil

In 2023, the share of Brazil's scientific publications in transplantation among the world's top 10% cited was slightly lower than the forecast for 2024, which stands at 5.76%. From 2024 to 2028, this share shows a steady but modest increase, reaching 5.80% by 2028. The year-on-year variations are minimal, with a nearly flat trajectory, indicating consistent performance. The 5-year CAGR highlights a stable growth pattern, indicative of incremental but positive trends.

Future trends to watch for include possible impacts from increased research funding, international collaborations, and policy changes within Brazil, which could enhance the global impact of its scientific publications in transplantation. Monitoring these drivers will be key for future strategic positioning.

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