In 2023, the production value of fresh marlins and sailfishes in capture fisheries for human consumption in France stood at an estimated baseline value. Moving forward, forecasts for 2024 through 2028 indicate a significant decline in this sector, with values dropping each year. The production value is expected to fall sharply over this forecast period, reflecting a downward trend in the demand or supply constraints impacting this sector.
The projected year-on-year decrease from 2024 to 2025 is approximately 21%. Furthermore, from 2025 to 2026, a further decrease of around 27% is anticipated. The decline continues through 2027 and 2028, indicating an ongoing reduction rate. Over the five-year span from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) forecasts a substantial average annual decline, underscoring a shrinking market presence.
Future trends to watch for:
- Increasing sustainable fishing practices and regulatory measures that could affect catch limits.
- The potential impact of environmental changes on marlin and sailfish populations.
- Shifting consumer preferences towards alternative seafood options.
- Technological advancements in aquaculture that might influence market dynamics.