The forecasted trend for female fourth-grade repeaters in secondary education in Germany from 2024 to 2028 indicates a consistent decline. In 2023, the actual value stood at higher levels compared to the subsequent forecasts, which project a steady decrease in the following years: from 1.58 in 2024 to 1.28 in 2028. This represents a year-on-year percentage decrease of around 4.4% over this period. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) highlights an average annual decline of approximately 5% over the five years.
Future trends to watch for include changes in educational policies aiming at reducing repeat rates, the impact of socio-economic factors on education, and potential innovations in learning methods that could further decrease repetition rates among female students in Germany.
