In 2023, new registrations of lorries with a permissible maximum gross weight of at least 40,000 kg in France stood at a notable figure from where the forecast anticipates a steady decline over the next five years. From 2024 onwards, the registration numbers are set to consecutively decrease, with the figures indicating a year-on-year reduction in registrations.

The expected change between each forecast year shows a consistent decrease, with the first contraction in 2025, followed by a sharp reduction by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period 2024-2028 presents a significant average annual decline.

Future trends to watch for:

Economic conditions that might influence transport needs and investments in lorries.
Regulatory changes affecting the logistics and transportation sectors.
Technological advancements prompting shifts in transportation modes and priorities.
Environmental policies impacting the use and registration of heavy lorries.