In 2023, the number of self-employed persons in medium-high R&D intensive activities in Germany was slightly above 148,000. Forecasts for subsequent years indicate a gradual decline, with figures decreasing by 1,000 persons annually. Specifically, projected values are about 148,000 in 2024, decreasing sequentially by a thousand each year, reaching 144,000 by 2028.

This downward trend reflects a year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.68% over the forecast period. Meanwhile, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 indicates a modest contraction.

Future trends to watch for include:

Technological advancements potentially altering the landscape of self-employment opportunities in R&D.
Policy changes affecting entrepreneurial incentives in high-tech sectors.
Evolving market demands and economic conditions influencing shifts in R&D activity levels.