In 2023, the fossil energy final consumption in construction in the UK stood at a recorded value of approximately 28.0 thousand terajoules. The forecasts from 2024 to 2028 suggest a gradual year-on-year increase in consumption, with the value rising from 28.42 thousand terajoules in 2024 to 29.46 thousand terajoules by 2028. The projected annual growth rates are relatively modest, reflecting a stable upward trend in fossil energy usage in the construction sector.

The projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period from 2023 to 2028 is approximately 1.0%. This indicates a consistent annual increase in energy consumption.

Future trends to watch for:

Increasing regulatory pressures and incentives for the adoption of renewable energy sources in construction may influence future consumption patterns.
Technological advancements in energy efficiency and construction materials could moderate fossil energy demand growth.
The economic factors impacting construction activity levels, such as investments and government policies, will play a crucial role.