The forecast for France's motor gasoline refinery output (excluding biofuel) from 2024 to 2028 indicates a consistent year-on-year decline. In 2023, the production was higher than projected, indicating the beginning of a downward trend. The anticipated decreases year-over-year are about 4.75% from 2024 to 2025, and approximately 4.95% from 2025 to 2026. The compound average growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is forecasted to be approximately -4.96%, highlighting a persistent decline.

Future trends to watch for include:

Increasing influence of environmental regulations and policies that may further drive down fossil fuel reliance.
Shift towards alternative energy sources which could impact gasoline demand and refinery outputs.
Technological advancements in fuel efficiency and electric vehicle adoption potentially reducing gasoline dependency.