Forecast: Internal Tourism Consumption of Air Passenger Transport Services in South Africa

Internal tourism consumption of air passenger transport services in South Africa has demonstrated varied trends over the past decade. Actual values peaked at 63.62 billion South African Rands in 2023. Early years showed strong growth, with significant increases between 2013 and 2017, before stabilizing. A sharp decline of 58.24% occurred in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by a robust recovery with a 94.62% increase in 2021. The last two years show moderate growth with 38.12% in 2022 and 3.39% in 2023. The five-year CAGR to 2023 is 3.53%.

Future trends:

  • The forecasted five-year CAGR through 2028 is lower at 2.58%.
  • Total growth rate through this period is projected at 13.56%.
  • Factors influencing future trends include economic stability, fuel costs, and tourism policies.

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