The forecast for infant mortality in Canada from 2024 to 2028 shows a slight but steady decline from 4.4 deaths per thousand live births in 2024 to 4.3 deaths in subsequent years. The forecast indicates a stabilization in the decline rate starting from 2025. The actual value for infant mortality in 2023 stood at 4.5, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.2% from 2023 to 2024. Between 2024 and 2025, the decrease continues at a rate of 2.3%, while there is no variation expected beyond 2025, indicating a plateau.
From a longer-term perspective, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years reflects a steady annual average decrease, emphasizing the improvements in healthcare and prenatal practices.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in medical technologies, government policy changes on maternal and child health, and socio-economic factors that could either positively or negatively influence the infant mortality rate in Canada.
