First registrations of new goods vehicles in Poland showed an overall upward trend from 2013 to 2023, reaching 99.07 thousand in 2023. The data from 2024 onwards are forecasted, suggesting further growth.
Year-on-year analyses indicated significant variations: sharp increases, notably in 2016 and 2021, contrasted with declines during challenging periods like 2020. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the recent five-year span was nearly zero, reflecting modest fluctuations. Forecasts predict a CAGR of 2.44% over the next five years, hinting at steady growth, with anticipated total growth of 12.83% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impact of economic recovery on fleet renewals.
- Adoption rates of electric and alternative fuel vehicles.
- Influence of regulatory changes on vehicle emissions and compliance costs.