The arable land area in China has shown a persistent decline from 2013 to 2023, decreasing from 116.38 million hectares to 108.67 million hectares in 2023. The year-on-year variation indicates a consistent, albeit slowing, reduction in arable land, with the greatest annual decreases observed between 2016 and 2019. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at -0.35%, showcasing a gradual slowing of the reduction rate. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 project the continuation of this downward trend, albeit at a much slower pace, with a forecast CAGR of -0.07%.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impact of urbanization and industrialization on arable land.
- Government policies aimed at preserving and expanding arable land.
- Technological advancements in agriculture that could potentially mitigate land loss.
- Environmental and climate change impacts on arable land distribution and productivity.
